Survivorship bias - Sketchplanations
Por um escritor misterioso
Last updated 28 setembro 2024
So the story goes, as told by Stephen Sigler, Nature May 1989: "The US military studied fighter planes returning from missions to try to improve their survival rate and were considering adding heavy armour to those parts of the plane that tended to show the greatest concentration of hits from enemy fire, until statisticians pointed out the fallacy of that argument. The more vulnerable parts of the plane were those with the fewest hits; planes hit there tended not to return at all. The single most vulnerable part, the pilot’s head, was without serious scar in the sample of planes that returned." It’s easy to draw correlations from what we see in front of us. But what we see usually represents just a small part of what has happened. Focusing on the evidence we can easily see at the expense of that we can’t leads to survivorship bias. To say it another way, when Bill Gates drops out of college and starts Microsoft it might seem like dropping out is a path to success for others too, but that ignores all the dropouts who didn’t create Microsofts and consequently you didn’t hear about. Silent evidence — the evidence that we don’t or can’t easily choose to consider — is a term from Nicholas Nassim Talleb. When trying to discover the veracity of the planes story I enjoyed Bill Casselman’s American Mathematical Society article on The Legend of Abraham Wald. The postscript points to some of the source behind the story including a mention of Stephen Sigler’s letter in Nature quoted above. I covered survivorship bias before but like this story so much I thought it was worth doing again.
Does GameStop get money from the stocks going up? - Quora
Survivorship Bias!
Sketchplanations - A weekly explanation in a sketch
PRINCIPLES THAT HAVE CHANGED MY LIFE - TAPAN DESAI
Communicating science - Alan Barker
5 Ways We Sabotage Success With Cognitive Biases • Stronger by Science
🧠Psychology of Design: 106 Cognitive Biases & Principles That Affect Your UX
Optimism bias Art Print for Sale by sketchplanator
Cliff Hazell on LinkedIn: Product roasts, Survivorship Bias and Lessons from Spotify. All this and…
JournalEdit
Survivorship bias - Sketchplanations
PRINCIPLES THAT HAVE CHANGED MY LIFE - TAPAN DESAI
Recomendado para você
-
Survivorship Bias: What World War II Taught Us About Our Mental28 setembro 2024
-
Survivorship Bias28 setembro 2024
-
Survivorship Bias: Why Reading Too Many Stories of Success is Bad28 setembro 2024
-
It's Time To Challenge Your Data! How To Overcome Survivorship28 setembro 2024
-
How to overcome survivorship bias – The Business of Social Games28 setembro 2024
-
What is the Survivorship Bias?. Phrase of the week28 setembro 2024
-
Survivorship bias - Sketchplanations28 setembro 2024
-
Survivorship Bias – Welcome to Club Street Post28 setembro 2024
-
Survivor's bias is common, especially - Safe Infant Sleep28 setembro 2024
-
Survivorship Bias28 setembro 2024
você pode gostar
-
4+ Thousand Card Meme Royalty-Free Images, Stock Photos & Pictures28 setembro 2024
-
On our way to solve the incident (Dr. Livesey Walk meme) by Ardenzz28 setembro 2024
-
Part 2 Sasuke Uchiha 💜 #sasuke #naruto #anime #drawing28 setembro 2024
-
Dragon Ball Super Card Game - [ONLINE/OFFLINE REGIONALS REMINDER28 setembro 2024
-
Bolos das Meninas - 1 ano, 12 meses, 52 semanas, 365 dias, 8760 horas, 525600 minutos, 31536000 segundos vivendo o nosso sonho e possibilitando momentos felizes a centenas de famílias. Este primeiro28 setembro 2024
-
Lookinho🤍//#fy#fyp #foryou #foryoupage #roupas #shein #bebe #reborn #28 setembro 2024
-
New Mining Bonuses - Earn Up To 5,000 IRON28 setembro 2024
-
How to Decide on a Climbing Frame. Range of Designs and Size28 setembro 2024
-
Ranking The Evil Dead Franchise!28 setembro 2024
-
Resident Evil 4 Remake - Lithographic Stone Puzzle Guide28 setembro 2024