Are 'Win Probabilities' useless? ESPN's Director of Sports Analytics explains why they're not.
Por um escritor misterioso
Last updated 26 junho 2024
![Are 'Win Probabilities' useless? ESPN's Director of Sports Analytics explains why they're not.](https://ftw.usatoday.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/90/2017/02/win-probability.jpg?w=1024&h=576&crop=1)
I freely admit that my motive behind this conversation was personal. I'm an Atlanta sports fan, information I've freely shared on this website before, and there was a moment during Super Bowl 51 when I saw this tweet come across my feed https://twitter.
![Are 'Win Probabilities' useless? ESPN's Director of Sports Analytics explains why they're not.](https://pub.mdpi-res.com/sustainability/sustainability-13-10890/article_deploy/html/images/sustainability-13-10890-g001.png?1633671128)
Sustainability, Free Full-Text
![Are 'Win Probabilities' useless? ESPN's Director of Sports Analytics explains why they're not.](https://preview.redd.it/the-99-999-99-cable-is-back-in-ai-and-now-theres-a-vine-v0-68wnd92ss89a1.jpg?width=2159&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c8046887ab4f79a774a15f3c4c9f4a3dd8f09c82)
I analyzed 850,000 ESPN In-Game Win Probabilities. Here's what I
![Are 'Win Probabilities' useless? ESPN's Director of Sports Analytics explains why they're not.](https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Screen-Shot-2022-11-14-at-9.31.53-AM.png)
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![Are 'Win Probabilities' useless? ESPN's Director of Sports Analytics explains why they're not.](https://a.espncdn.com/photo/2021/1221/211221_ncaaf_momentum-illo_1296x729_2.png)
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![Are 'Win Probabilities' useless? ESPN's Director of Sports Analytics explains why they're not.](http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/2023-Catcher-Positional-WAR-by-Team-SDP-Update.png)
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![Are 'Win Probabilities' useless? ESPN's Director of Sports Analytics explains why they're not.](https://operations.nfl.com/media/5722/playoffpercentages-1.jpg?mode=max&width=995)
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![Are 'Win Probabilities' useless? ESPN's Director of Sports Analytics explains why they're not.](https://operations.nfl.com/media/4551/bdb.png?width=1417&height=740&rnd=132471763290000000&quality=85)
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